2019 Oscar Predictions Fashion Features Other Lists

2019 Oscar Predictions: Who Will Win in Each Category « Taste of Cinema

2019 Oscar Predictions: Who Will Win in Each Category « Taste of Cinema

The Oscars are this Sunday, so it’s about time to make some predictions. This yr, it may be just a little harder than traditional. Whereas there are undoubtedly frontrunners, they’re not fairly as predictable as standard.

For as soon as, it’s arduous to make use of the phrases “frontrunner” and “lock” interchangeably. Positive, a number of the classes are no-brainers, however a whole lot of them are literally fairly tough this yr. This awards season has been a rollercoaster, however there’s sufficient knowledge on the market to provide you with an inventory of strong, if imperfect, predictions.

Like all the time, understand that this listing isn’t about who ought to win; it’s an inventory about who’s most certainly to win. Given the backlash towards films like Inexperienced Guide and Black Panther, that sadly must be clarified. Principally, complaints concerning the films on this listing are in all probability pointless. Take it up with Academy voters. Now, with that out of the best way, let the predictions start.

 

1. Greatest Image: Roma

When it got here to predicting the Greatest Image winner up to now, the most secure guess can be to select the PGA winner for Greatest Theatrical Movement Image, however this awards season has been all types of untamed, so all bets are off. Inexperienced E-book picked up the large Producers Guild Award on January 19th, however most people weren’t satisfied that this was our Greatest Image frontrunner. Statistically, the Producers Guild has a stellar monitor report, however Roma has seemingly dominated the remainder of the awards circuit. Positive, not one of the different awards have as robust of a correlation, however this type of dominance can’t be ignored.

Inexperienced Guide is an apparent darkish horse right here, however it simply doesn’t really feel proper to label it a frontrunner. To some, that PGA loss just about meant Roma was doomed, however there are simply so many different parts to take a look at. If it was as straightforward as matching up two awards, we wouldn’t want prediction articles like this.

We might learn the outcomes of the Producers Guild Awards and name it a day. Inexperienced E-book is extra divisive. Inexperienced Ebook solely has gained main guild award. Inexperienced E-book has fallen flat on its face because the PGA win. Inexperienced Ebook can be the worst reviewed winner since Crash.

Roma must be the definitive frontrunner, however that pesky Producers Guild award makes issues tough. Whereas there are numerous instances towards Inexperienced Ebook, Roma is hardly within the clear. It’s our decide, however it’s not one thing anybody ought to be putting bets on. Frankly, this can be a tough yr. It’s so tough, that there’s even a risk that the prize goes to neither of these films. Roma has the sting, nevertheless it’s going to need to struggle for the prize.

 

2. Greatest Director: Alfonso Cuaron – Roma

Alfonso Cuaron will win his second Greatest Director award Sunday night time. If he wasn’t nominated, Spike Lee would win this with ease, however that is Cuaron’s award. He directed the hell out of his intimate, emotionally highly effective drama, and it exhibits. Whereas it will be nice to see Spike Lee lastly get recognition for his onerous work and contributions to the business, voters gained’t ignore Cuaron’s achievements this yr.

 

three. Greatest Actor: Rami Malek – Bohemian Rhapsody

Keep in mind when Bohemian Rhapsody evaluations began pouring in and everybody dismissed its Oscar possibilities? These have been the times. Now, the (considerably) critically panned film has 5 Oscar nominations, and it has a reasonably strong probability of profitable 4 of these awards. Greatest Image doesn’t look like a risk, however it very nicely might depart the night time with a win in Modifying, Sound Mixing, Sound Modifying, and Actor. If it someway manages to go away the night time with just one award, that shall be for Rami Malek’s efficiency.

Bohemian Rhapsody isn’t an ideal film. In reality, it’s significantly removed from perfection. The one factor that’s onerous to argue about is Malek’s talent in entrance of the digital camera. Say what you’ll concerning the script and course, however Malek is a celebrity. He embodies Freddie Mercury in a method so few actors might. Even when this can be a fictionalized account of the singer’s life, Rami Malek makes issues really feel oh-so-real.

 

four. Greatest Actress: Glenn Shut – The Spouse

Gaga is out. Glenn Shut is in. That turned completely clear when Glenn Shut defied the chances and nabbed the Golden Globe for her efficiency in The Spouse. It might’ve been labelled a fluke if Shut didn’t go onto win just about each different main award. She gained the Globe. She gained the SAG award. She gained the Critics’ Selection Award. Her solely noteworthy loss was on the BAFTAs, however that they had an apparent bias towards The Favorite going into the night time. There are a pair small issues signalling the truth that Shut won’t win, however the phrase “small” can’t be ignored.

Her largest competitor is Olivia Colman, whose game-changing efficiency has earned her nothing however reward. It has additionally earned her, as beforehand said, a BAFTA. Nonetheless, she looks like a light menace. In different phrases, she’s the one factor stopping Glenn Shut from being a lock. On the finish of the day, the chances are nonetheless very a lot in her favor.

 

5. Greatest Supporting Actor: Mahershala Ali – Inexperienced Guide

Mahershala Ali is an absolute lock on this class. In a yr the place there are so few locks, that’s one thing value noting. Ali has picked up just about each precursor within the e-book. Some individuals consider Richard E Grant might stand an opportunity, however these individuals are almost definitely blinded by some sort of bizarre anti-Inexperienced Guide bias. Belief us – Mahershala Ali is profitable this award.

 

6. Greatest Supporting Actress: Regina King – If Beale Road Might Speak

Truly, each supporting performances are virtually locks. Regina King has slightly bit extra competitors contemplating her SAG snub and BAFTA loss, however it nonetheless looks like a reasonably protected guess. The SAG’s eventual winner for Greatest Supporting Actress isn’t even nominated for an Oscar, and the BAFTA winner appeared like a no brainer when you think about the overwhelming love for The Favorite in that circle. Principally, whereas If Beale Road Might Speak acquired snubbed in plenty of areas, it can hopefully depart the night time with no less than one win.

It’s a well-deserved win additionally. This isn’t a very robust yr on this class. Although the Greatest Actress class is stacked, Greatest Supporting Actress is type of a unique story. Out of everybody, Regina King actually proved that she will act her ass off. This can be a passionate, memorable efficiency that helps to enhance an already stupendous film. A win for her shall be a win for everybody.

 

7. Greatest Tailored Screenplay: BlacKkKlansman

If Beale Road Might Speak dominated when it got here to awards that don’t actually matter. For instance, it gained the Critics’ Selection Award for Greatest Tailored Screenplay, however that’s not a traditionally dependable supply. It additionally gained a number of screenplay awards from numerous critics, however they’re even much less significant. Early within the awards season, If Beale Road Might Speak appeared like a critical menace within the Greatest Tailored Screenplay class. Because the Oscars have principally ignored the film, that early frontrunner has fallen and one other film has taken its place.

BlacKkKlansman is now the film to beat on this class. Like If Beale Road Might, it hasn’t been persistently profitable. Actually, ol’ dependable (Writers Guild of America) went rogue and picked Can You Ever Forgive Me? This might be troublesome if different precursors awarded the identical film, however a current BAFTA win for Spike Lee’s film proves that folks aren’t essentially on the identical web page. Apart from that current victory, BlacKkKlansman has an edge over each different film due to its quick-witted dialogue and general likability. That must be sufficient, however who is aware of?

 

eight. Greatest Unique Screenplay: Inexperienced E-book

Nearly all of individuals have The Favorite as, nicely, the favourite on this class. That’s advantageous. In all honesty, it has a reasonably respectable probability because it has the snappy, fast-paced dialogue the Oscars have a tendency to like. We’re going to go towards the grain although. We’re going to select Inexperienced Guide for one cause and one purpose solely: it’s a crowd-pleaser. Individuals depart this film feeling completely happy. A minimum of, that was true till it turned so divisive.

As divisive as it’s, it’s nonetheless successful amongst most viewers. It’s rocking an eight.three on IMDb. Whereas IMDb voters don’t vote for the Oscars, they could show that the backlash isn’t sufficient to deliver the film down. This isn’t probably the most creative film on the market, nevertheless it has fairly easy discovered a crowd of people that actually take pleasure in it. The Favorite options catty women insulting one another with oodles of wit and snark, however the Academy may lean towards one thing a bit safer and slightly lighter.

 

9. Greatest Cinematography: Roma

Roma’s breathtaking black and white cinematography shouldn’t be ignored. There are a complete of 5 beautiful films on this class, however Roma is the chief of the pack by a large margin, and it completely ought to be. Chilly Struggle is beautiful as nicely, however it simply occurs to be dealing with some critical competitors within the type of a really comparable film.

Black and white doesn’t all the time equal good cinematography. Simply because it seems artsy doesn’t imply it’s well-shot. Within the case of Roma (and Chilly Warfare), that really is the case although. The shortage of colour isn’t some sort of pretentious inventive assertion. It actually works to each films’ advantages. Roma simply occurs to do the entire “black and white” factor slightly higher.

 

10. Greatest Costume Design: Black Panther

That is neck-and-neck between The Favorite and Black Panther. Significantly, flip a coin and take your decide. Probably the most dependable precursor, the Costume Designers Guild, break issues down by style, which suggests each Black Panther and The Favorite picked up a guild award. Black Panther gained the award for Excellence in Sci-Fi/Fantasy Movie whereas The Favorite took house the prize for Excellence in Interval Movie. Thanks for the assistance, Costume Designers Guild.

Black Panther is our predicted winner solely as a result of the costumes did a lot to reinforce the already spectacular worldbuilding. The costumes in The Favorite are beautiful, however they’re acquainted to anybody who has seen a interval movie. The costumes in Black Panther merely really feel brisker, and it looks like voters will in all probability really feel the identical means. That being stated, it shouldn’t be a shock if Black Panther loses to the opposite potential winner.

 

11. Greatest Movie Modifying: Bohemian Rhapsody

Bohemian Rhapsody

The ACE Eddie awards aren’t as dependable as they was. Earlier than 2000, the correlation between Ace Eddie winners and Oscar winners was significantly spectacular, however then they determined to interrupt the Greatest Edited Function Movie award into Comedy and Drama classes and predicting turned trickier.

On the similar time, there have been a number of current events the place neither ACE Eddie winner goes onto win the Oscar. Again in 2017, for instance, the American Cinema Editors (ACE) picked Arrival and La La Land whereas the Oscars gave their Greatest Modifying award to Hacksaw Ridge. In different phrases, we will’t use ACE Eddie for Greatest Modifying like we use the PGA for Greatest Image.

Amongst most specialists, Vice is taken into account the frontrunner, and that’s truly a reasonably strong prediction. One of many movie’s biggest strengths is its robust modifying. A win shall be an uphill battle although. Frankly, Bohemian Rhapsody looks like a safer guess as a result of it’s a much less divisive film.

As soon as once more, it’s unfair that the Oscars sometimes simply decide general approval relatively than what’s greatest in a specific class, however that appears to be the case. Rotten Tomatoes rating apart, individuals actually like Bohemian Rhapsody. Which may assist it win.

 

12. Greatest Make-up and Hair: Vice

Christian Bale is completely unrecognizable as Dick Cheyner in Adam McKay’s divisive however surprisingly profitable political drama. The opposite nominees don’t have that going for them. Sure, Saoirse Ronan and Margot Robbie look appropriately old style in Mary Queen of Scots, however the work being finished isn’t outright transformative. Border’s use of make-up is robust as nicely, nevertheless it’s not fairly as robust. That is virtually a lock.

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