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What We Know (And Don’t Know) After 2 World Cup Games

What We Know (And Don’t Know) After 2 World Cup Games

sara.ziegler (Sara Ziegler, assistant sports activities editor): We’re two video games into group stage of the Ladies’s World Cup, and there’s so much we already know: 9 groups have already superior to the knockout rounds, and although she has performed just one recreation, Alex Morgan appears just like the participant to beat for the Golden Boot.

However there’s additionally lots that we’re nonetheless ready to study. How will the seeding shake out? Which of the third-place groups will advance? And the way will the American ladies fare towards extra strong competitors?

After a first-game drubbing of Thailand, the U.S. took a subdued however nonetheless convincing win towards Chile. What have been your takeaways from Sunday’s match?

TerrenceDoyle (Terrence Doyle, contributor): I feel it will be onerous to not speak concerning the play of Chile’s goalkeeper, Christiane Endler, and the way issues might have been a lot worse with out her chic efficiency.

emily (Emily Scherer, designer): Christiane Endler!!!!!!!!!!!

TerrenceDoyle: She was unreal!

sara.ziegler: Christen Press will probably be having nightmares about Endler for some time.

emily: She even received into Carli Lloyd’s head within the penalty kick!

sara.ziegler: Endler had six saves on 9 photographs on track. Fairly spectacular.

tchow (Tony Chow, video producer): The roster modifications have been an enormous story for the match towards Chile, however I used to be actually stunned at how a few of these fringe gamers performed. It feels actually improper to even name them second string, however gamers like Ali Krieger and Tierna Davidson and even Moe Brian performed fairly nicely!

TerrenceDoyle: I feel that’s proper. The U.S. “bench” was a recognized entity coming into this event, however … wow. Simply wow. There are a variety of nice gamers on this event, however I don’t assume any staff has the power in depth that the U.S. has.

sara.ziegler: It did really feel just like the starters may need completed a few of these photographs within the second half, however towards a keeper like Endler, perhaps not!

TerrenceDoyle: The attention check says Endler has been fairly exceptional on this event — a number of the saves she’s made have appeared unimaginable — however her objectives prevented mark is definitely within the pink. A type of situations the place the attention check and the analytics aren’t jelling.

neil (Neil Paine, senior sportswriter): Endler leads your complete World Cup in saves proper now, with 10. South Africa’s Andile Dlamini is second with 9 saves. Nevertheless, she has confronted 27 photographs. Endler has confronted fifty.

TerrenceDoyle: FIFTY.

emily: That’s hockey numbers!

sara.ziegler: Holy crap.

TerrenceDoyle: Chile, ah, want extra of the ball?

tchow: I’m curious to know what number of of these photographs have been on track towards her although. All 50? There’s no method.

neil: Nah. Solely 15. However nonetheless, loads of hazard coming her method, most because of the U.S. simply controlling a lot of the play.

The People had a better share of all shot makes an attempt (on aim or not) towards Chile than they did within the 13-Zero romp over Thailand.

And the possession percentages have been roughly even between the video games.

tchow: Additionally, it’s value preserving in thoughts that Endler has confronted the U.S. and Sweden. Outdoors of the U.S., the Swedes are tied for second with Italy with probably the most objectives within the event to date.

TerrenceDoyle: Nonetheless fairly a good quantity. When it comes to keepers who’ve performed in each their nation’s video games, Endler is dealing with extra photographs on aim per recreation than some other.

emily: Has Alyssa Naeher confronted the least?

neil: Someway Carly Telford of England has confronted one fewer than Naeher. (However in a single recreation.)

TerrenceDoyle: As has Sarah Bouhaddi of France (in two video games).

sara.ziegler: However don’t overlook Stephanie Labbé of Canada, who has confronted a grand complete of ZERO photographs on course. (Towards Cameroon and New Zealand.)

tchow: Canada, the U.S. and Germany have but to be scored towards within the event to date.

neil: From the U.S. perspective, all of those shot differential stats actually level to the concept these first two matches have been glorified warmups. What have we discovered concerning the People thus far? Are you able to study something from these lopsided mismatches?

TerrenceDoyle: They’ve been ruthless in entrance of aim, which is sweet for confidence going ahead. They’re outperforming their anticipated aim numbers to date. We’ll see how that holds up towards Sweden, which gave them matches in 2015.

sara.ziegler: ^^^ and in 2016!

TerrenceDoyle: true!

tchow: All due respect to Thailand and Chile, that may be a good perspective to remember, Neil. The sport on Thursday towards Sweden will inform us rather a lot.

TerrenceDoyle: Opposition apart, the People have already far outpaced their objective tally from the group stage 4 years in the past. (They scored simply 4 occasions in 2015!)

sara.ziegler: We haven’t discovered a lot concerning the goalkeeping, that’s for positive. The one time the U.S. got here closest to giving up a aim towards Chile — a play through which the Chilean striker was finally offside — Naeher made a reasonably large mistake in coming off her line.

emily: I might have liked to see Ashlyn Harris get some minutes, however coach Jill Ellis has been very clear that it’s Naeher’s job.

tchow: Emily, I used to be stunned with all her modifications on this second recreation that she didn’t give Harris some recreation time too.

emily: I wasn’t stunned! Ellis has been doing this since Hope Solo left.

TerrenceDoyle: Is it as a result of goalkeeping is such a confidence-based place? You need your goalie to be in a groove.

sara.ziegler: Is it a confidence-boosting factor?

Ha — jinx

TerrenceDoyle: lol

emily: However come on, give me Harris and Ali Krieger on the sector collectively!

tchow: It might have been nice to see Harris and Krieger play collectively. I perceive Ellis for wanting to stay together with her goalie, however this might have been the right recreation to convey on another person.

TerrenceDoyle: Agree on that. And you must determine it gained’t occur going ahead, barring damage or a disastrous efficiency vs. Sweden.

tchow: I don’t assume anybody was positive how a lot enjoying time or how nicely Krieger would play on this event, however she obtained a full 90 minutes and greater than held her personal: 84 % move completion without any consideration again, and she or he gained 71 % of her duels, in line with ESPN’s Stats & Info Group.

TerrenceDoyle: The Carli Lloyd left-footed volley towards Chile is the aim of the event up to now, idc what anybody says. The diploma of problem, whereas falling backward, to get something on that ball, not to mention as a lot as Lloyd acquired on it, is excessive.

sara.ziegler: idk, Terrence, that Julie Ertz header was fairly unimaginable:

tchow: What patriots you all are. Such U.S. bias. If we’re speaking objective of the event, Amandine Henry’s within the opening recreation was ridiculous.

sara.ziegler: USA! USA!

neil: And what about Christen Press’s rocket out of a volley from the left aspect (even when it was saved)?

TerrenceDoyle: There have been another *absolute bangers* to date! I simply can’t get my head across the Lloyd end.

emily: What a event for Alex Morgan. She’s been the face of the staff for years, however this looks like her actual breakout on the sector after grabbing just one objective within the 2015 World Cup and two in 2011, and it’s solely simply began!

neil: It was nice to see her do the majority of the loopy scoring within the 13-Zero win.

I feel even she was stunned that the objectives stored coming, and coming, and coming, and coming…

TerrenceDoyle: The Golden Boot race goes to be enjoyable. Particularly if Cristiane retains this up for Brazil.

sara.ziegler: Interested in your opinions on this: Did the U.S. let up a bit of after the 13-Zero recreation? Did that criticism have an effect on them in any respect?

neil: Definitely it affected their celebrations towards Chile.

sara.ziegler: That golf clap KILLED ME.

tchow: I don’t assume they let up, and I might truly be actually dissatisfied if we discover out later that they did.

TerrenceDoyle: With all due respect to Thailand, I feel Chile is a stronger aspect with a greater goalkeeper. The U.S. nonetheless dominated play and even handed the ball higher/extra cleanly towards Chile.

neil: Regardless that they scored 10 fewer objectives, they might have scored extra if not for the large saves.

TerrenceDoyle: 100 %, Neil.

tchow: I truthfully can’t consider how lengthy that 13-Zero scoreline stayed within the headlines and my information feeds.

neil: In equity, that may be a WILD rating for a soccer recreation.

TerrenceDoyle: Very a lot so. However agree, Tony. Needed to not take a look at soccer Twitter for, like, every week. (Which, tbh, was a welcome trip for my mind, which is full of worms at this level due to soccer Twitter.)

sara.ziegler: Pal of the location Michael Caley posts expected-goal maps after each match, and that one was AMAZING:

tchow: thErEs nOt EnOUgh scOrInG iN SOcCeR. tHeRes TOO MUCH ScORinG iN socCeR

sara.ziegler: ?

emily: It’s acquainted for Thailand, however this was the primary time they’ve been on the opposite aspect of issues. In 2018, they beat Indonesia 13-Zero and Cambodia 11-Zero.

TerrenceDoyle: “OK, so the purpose of all sports activities is to attain as many objectives/factors as attainable.”


sara.ziegler: But in addition, be sure to don’t rejoice your accomplishments, or have fun the accomplishments or your teammates.

However when you don’t have fun the accomplishments or your teammates, WHY AREN’T YOU FRIENDSSSSSSSS?

There’s really no profitable.

emily: There’s by no means any profitable in ladies’s sports activities.

sara.ziegler: Ain’t that the reality.

TerrenceDoyle: Think about your pal labored for, like, half a decade or extra to succeed in the top of their profession, then they obtained there, they usually celebrated, and also you have been like, “Sorry, your celebrations are somewhat MUCH.”

tchow: Nuengruetai Srathongvian, Thailand’s coach, spoke concerning the loss, and I feel what she stated ought to have ended all dialogue about whether or not the scoreline was problematic. So with that in thoughts, let’s transfer on.

sara.ziegler: Let’s sit up for Sweden, a really acquainted foe. This match doesn’t matter THAT a lot, nevertheless it’s essential for seeding, and naturally the U.S. doesn’t need to lose its final group recreation. What can we anticipate out of this recreation?

TerrenceDoyle: (in the event that they win and france wins, they’re on the identical aspect and may see each other within the quarters, sure?)

tchow: (sure)

TerrenceDoyle: THE U.S. SHOULD TANK.

Kidding, however solely type of.

tchow: Don’t say it, Terrence. Don’t say it. Ahhh, rattling it.

sara.ziegler: Hahahaha

TerrenceDoyle: lolol sorry

sara.ziegler: But when the People lose to Sweden, they might face Germany within the quarters! No straightforward roads.

tchow: Going again to Sara’s query, I might anticipate Ellis to return to her A-team lineup for this recreation.

An A-Group that doesn’t embrace Lloyd or Press or Pugh. LOL, the US are ridiculous.

emily: Ridiculously stacked.

TerrenceDoyle: You’ll be able to solely play the opponent in entrance of you, and if that occurs to be France, it occurs to be France. They’re in all probability going to need to beat them sooner or later in the event that they need to win the entire thing, so if that’s within the quarters, it’s within the quarters.

So, yeah, roll that A-Staff out and actual revenge on Sweden.

Sorry, that was aggressive. I imply Sweden no hurt.

sara.ziegler: The U.S. is the one group with extra anticipated objectives thus far (11.28) than Sweden’s eight.09, in accordance with ESPN’s Stats & Info Group.

They’ve performed the identical competitors, in fact, however that needs to be a bit of worrying to the People.

TerrenceDoyle: And Sweden hasn’t been taking full benefit of that prime xG mark both.

sara.ziegler: Yeah. They usually’ve had simply 18 photographs on track to the U.S.’s 29.

TerrenceDoyle: Kosovare Asllani and Madelen Janogy have each been quietly good thus far for Sweden. I feel this match could possibly be about containing them, truthfully.

sara.ziegler: Leaving the U.S.-Sweden match behind, which different groups have impressed you all probably the most?

TerrenceDoyle: ITALY

tchow: I used to be nearly to say Italy too. We gave them only a 59 % probability of advancing to the spherical of 16 earlier than the event. They’ve already certified.

TerrenceDoyle: Canada are low-key wanting very harmful proper now.

They’re scoring lower than their xG numbers say they need to be and profitable anyway. If they begin taking their possibilities, they’ll look a menace. Particularly if Christine Sinclair begins burying her possibilities. Which, I imply, she is going to.

emily: ARGENTINA ??

sara.ziegler: Argentina has been actually shocking! That they had a really sensible recreation plan towards England.

TerrenceDoyle: Goalkeeper Vanina Correa has been absurd.

sara.ziegler: The one time they deviated from their plan … England scored.

TerrenceDoyle: The Correa save on the Nikita Parris penalty kick was SPECIAL. Additionally LOL that it was England’s first ever pen miss at a World Cup. The lads ought to take notes.

Correa leads in objectives prevented per 90 amongst goalies who’ve performed in each of their staff’s video games in consequence. She’s additionally the primary cause Argentina nonetheless has an opportunity at advancing.

tchow: Argentina is one other squad our projections have been down on and doubtless fallacious about. They’ve a 25 % probability of creating it now, which nonetheless appears low to me.

sara.ziegler: They’re wanting up at fairly a number of groups that have already got three factors. They usually simply have the 1.

TerrenceDoyle: Merciless sport. They’ve performed higher than their factors complete suggests.

neil: One way or the other our mannequin had Argentina rated decrease than each Chile and Thailand (!) earlier than the event. (Nonetheless does, truly.)

emily: They misplaced their funding from the Argentine soccer federation for a couple of years.

sara.ziegler: Is that a part of the consequence of not with the ability to schedule sufficient matches?

It’s been nice to see them play so properly, although, given what they’ve been by way of.

tchow: Argentina might nonetheless get second place if England finally ends up beating Japan within the ultimate group recreation.

TerrenceDoyle: As a Correa fan boy, I hope they make a run at it.

tchow: There’s been a whole lot of speak about goalkeeper efficiency on this chat already, however Correa has been ridiculous. She has an 89 % save proportion proper now.

sara.ziegler: As the primary of the third matches get began proper now, what are your remaining ideas on what we’ve seen thus far?

emily: Sinclair is 4 objectives away from breaking Abby Wambach’s document. Will she do it?

TerrenceDoyle: VAR is dangerous and is popping the game right into a surveillance state. That yellow on the pen save for Sydney Schneider in Jamaica v. Italy was … I imply, it was horrible. It’s soooo exhausting to save lots of a pen. The success fee for shooters is one thing like 70 %. It’s taken from so shut, the web is so massive, goalies ought to have the ability to do no matter they need.

sara.ziegler: Will probably be very fascinating to see if any modifications come to VAR in any case of this.

Appears worse than final yr within the males’s World Cup.

TerrenceDoyle: Straitjackets for defenders as a result of the whole lot is a handball now.

tchow: Subsequent chat, can we dedicate the whole factor to package speak? I’ve been dying to speak to somebody about China’s grey away kits.

sara.ziegler: LOL. Completely, Tony.

emily: Australia’s package ❤️ ❤️ ❤️

tchow: There are such a lot of thrilling video games that don’t contain the U.S. to shut out these group levels! Netherlands vs. Canada in Group E. England vs. Japan in Group D. Group C is all types of loopy with Brazil, Australia and Italy. Extra soccer!!

TerrenceDoyle: Group C is certainly in for a wild end, Tony. Soccer is enjoyable, the World Cup is enjoyable!!!

sara.ziegler: But in addition: USA! USA!

emily: ?? ?? ??

Take a look at our newest Ladies’s World Cup predictions.